Digital Transformation, Institutional Quality, and Tax Revenue in West Africa
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.37075/FABA.2026.1.15Keywords:
Digital Transformation, Institutional Quality, tax revenue, West AfricaAbstract
Purpose: The paper examined the individual and combined effects of digitalization and institutional quality on the mobilization of tax revenue in West Africa. It aims to understand the interplay of these factors in shaping tax outcomes in developing economies, with particular attention to distributional impacts and causal mechanisms.
Design/Methodology/Approach: The mixed-methods quantitative approach applies to panel data from 14 ECOWAS member countries for 2000-2023. The analysis employs the fixed effects models, Method of Moments Quantile Regression (MMQR), and the panel Structural Vector Autoregression (PSVAR) in measuring the average treatment effects, the heterogeneous effects across the revenue distribution, and dynamic causal effects between digitalization and institutional quality on the one hand and tax revenues on the other hand.
Findings: The results indicate that internet penetration, as measured by tax revenue, has a positive impact, with a stronger effect in high-revenue countries. The role of institutional quality is consistently positive and significant for tax mobilization across settings, underscoring the complementarity of technological diffusion and institutional factors. Although there are increasing returns to internet distribution, a variance decomposition analysis shows that tax revenues are more strongly affected by the quality of the institutional environment than by internet penetration per se, suggesting that the digitalization of the tax system works optimally only in an environment with strong institutional structures.
Practical Implications: The study advises West African governments to focus on institutional quality and investments in digital infrastructure. Policymakers should aim to strengthen governance structures, enhance regulatory uniformity, and build institutional capacity to ensure that the benefits of digitalization for tax revenue are fully realized. Different countries with varying levels of revenue must adopt different approaches, and low-revenue countries must have their institutional structures in place before digital tax systems will yield high rates.
Originality/Value: The work is relevant as it entails a systematic analysis of the nexus between digitalization and institutional quality in tax mobilization in the West African region. In contrast to earlier literature that examined these factors separately, the current study highlights their interactions and distributional heterogeneity, yielding subtle policy implications for policymakers in developing economies seeking to increase fiscal capacity through technological and institutional change.
Paper Type: Research Paper.
Downloads
References
Ackom, E. K., E. Ocansey, and F. O. Asamoah. 2025. Influence of Digitalization, Tax System and Tax Compliance on Revenue Mobilization in Sub-Saharan Africa as Moderated by Religion and Culture. Journal of Accounting, 7(1): 86–113. https://doi.org/10.47941/jacc.2741.
Appiah, L. O., J. Annan, D. Essuman, C. A. Forson, and N. Boso. 2025. Green Process Innovation and Financial Performance in Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises in a Developing Country: Role of Resource Orchestration. Journal of Business Research, 189: 115210. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2025.115210.
Arwani, A., and U. Priyadi. 2024. The Role and Contribution of the New Institutional Economics in Economic System Performance. Jurnal Simki Economic, 7: 271–288. https://doi.org/10.29407/jse.v7i1.508
Bah, M. 2024. Tax Revenue Mobilization and Institutional Quality in Sub-Saharan Africa: An Empirical Investigation. African Development Review, 36(2): 201–221. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12752.
Balengla, M. T. A., J. K. Massil, A. Noah, and B. C. N. Beyala. 2026. From Cash to Digital: How Mobile Money Is Transforming Tax Collection in Developing Countries. Information Systems Frontiers. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10797-026-09952-w
Bati, B. 2025. Institutional and Macroeconomic Determinants of Tax Revenue in Sub-Saharan African Countries. Future Business Journal, 11: 217. https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-025-00638-z
Beck, T., R. Levine, and N. Loayza. 2000. Finance and the Sources of Growth. Journal of Financial Economics, 58 (1–2): 261–300. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(00)00072-6
Benitez, J. C., M. Mansour, M. Pecho, and C. Vellutini. 2023. Building Tax Capacity in Developing Countries. Staff Discussion Notes 2023(006). Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund. https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400246098.006.
Besley, T., and T. Persson. 2014. Why Do Developing Countries Tax So Little? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28 (4): 99–120. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.28.4.99
Binh, P. T., and T. T. T. Nguyen. 2024. Do Institutions Advocate Tax Simplification? Insights from a Panel of 88 Countries. Economic Change and Restructuring, 57 (3). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-024-09709-7
Dongmo, A. D., E. X.P. Tebeng, J. C. M. Nyamou, and S. A. Asongu. 2026. The Effect of Information and Communication Technologies on Tax Revenue Mobilization: A Global Perspective. Telecommunications Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.telpol.2026.103151
Dumitrescu, E.-I., and C. Hurlin. 2012. Testing for Granger Non-Causality in Heterogeneous Panels. Economic Modelling, 29: 1450–1460. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.02.014
El-Manaseer, S. A., J. H. Al-Kayid, A. M. Al Khawatreh, and M. Shamim. 2023. The Impact of Digital Transformation on Combating Tax Evasion (Electronic Billing System as a Model). In: Alareeni, B.A.M., Elgedawy, I. (eds) Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Finance. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, 488. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-39158-3_63
Hammond, P., P. A. Kwakwa, D. Berko, and E. Amissah. 2023. Taxing Informal Sector through Modified Taxation: Implementation Challenges and Overcoming Strategies. Cogent Economics & Finance, 11 (1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2023.2274172
Iddrisu, L. J. 2023. The Effects of Digitalization on Tax Revenue Mobilization in Sub-Saharan Africa. International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management, 11(2).
International Monetary Fund and African Tax Administration Forum (ATAF). 2025. Africa Revenue Mobilization and Tax Integrity Report. Washington, DC: IMF. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513598477.001
International Monetary Fund. 2024. Citizens’ Perceptions of Tax Authorities and Tax Efficiency in Africa. IMF Working Paper No. 24/234. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund. https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400292866.001
International Telecommunication Union (ITU). 2025. Facts and Figures 2024: Connectivity and Digital Transformation. ITU Publications.
Junquera-Varela, R. F., C. O. Lucas-Mas, I. Krsul, V. O. Y. C. Yksic, and P. A. Rodriguez. 2022. Digital Transformation of Tax and Customs Administrations. https://doi.org/10.1596/37629.
Katuka, B., and C. Mudzingiri. 2023. Impact of Output Gap, COVID-19, and Governance Quality on Fiscal Space in Sub-Saharan Africa. Economies, 11(10): 256. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies11100256.
Kochanova, A., Z. Hasnain, and B. Larson. 2020. Does E-Government Improve Government Capacity? Evidence from Tax Compliance Costs, Tax Revenue, and Public Procurement Competitiveness. The World Bank Economic Review, 34 (1): 101–120. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhx024
Koenker, R., and G. Bassett Jr. 1978. Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46 (1): 33–50. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913643.
Krieger, T. 2021. A Model-Theoretical Analysis for Digital Tax Administrations. International Journal of Innovative Technologies in Economy. https://doi.org/10.31435/rsglobal_ijite/30062021/7543.
Lengaram, E. 2025. Tax Effort and Capacity in Developing Countries. Development Southern Africa. https://doi.org/10.1080/0376835X.2025.2549280
Lewbel, A. 2012. Using Heteroscedasticity to Identify and Estimate Mismeasured and Endogenous Regressor Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 30(1): 67–80.
Machado, J. A. F., and J. M. C. Santos Silva. 2019. Quantiles via Moments. Journal of Econometrics, 213(1): 145–173.
Maddala, G. S., and S. Wu. 1999. A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. 61 (S1): 631–652. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0084.0610s1631
Mishi, S., and N. Tshabalala. 2023. Public Finance in South Africa: Tax Compliance and Behavioural Responses to Tax Increases. Africa’s Public Service Delivery and Performance Review, 11(1): a662. https://doi.org/10.4102/apsdpr.v11i1.662.
Moore, M. 2023. Tax Obsessions: Taxpayer Registration and the ‘Informal Sector’ in Sub-Saharan Africa. Development Policy Review, 41(1): e12649. https://doi.org/10.1111/dpr.12649
Mpofu, F. Y. 2022. Industry 4.0 in Financial Services: Mobile Money Taxes, Revenue Mobilisation, Financial Inclusion, and the Realisation of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in Africa. Sustainability, 14(14): 8667. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14148667.
Nature Communications. 2025. The Impact of Bureaucratic Quality on Tax Revenue Collection in Democratic Settings. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 12: 95.
Nichelatti, E., and H. Hiilamo. 2024. “The Effect of Citizens’ Perception of Governance on Tax Compliance: A Cross-Country Analysis Study for 32 Sub-Saharan African Countries.” The European Journal of Development Research 36(5): 1198–1226. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41287-024-00631-2.
Nikiema, R., and M. Zore. 2025. Tax Revenue Instability in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does Institutional Quality Matter? American Journal of Economics and Sociology, 84(1): 153–177. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajes.12598.
North, D. C. 1990. Institutions, Institutional Change, and Economic Performance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Nose, M., N. Pierri, and J. Honda. 2025. Leveraging Digital Technologies in Boosting Tax Collection. IMF Working Paper No. 25/89. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund. https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229008402.001
OECD. 2023. Sustainable Investment Policy Perspectives in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). Paris: OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/654e2de5-en
OECD. 2025a. OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2025 Issue 2: Resilient Growth but with Increasing Fragilities. Paris: OECD Publishing. Published December 2, 2025.
OECD. 2025b. Tax Administration Digitalisation and Digital Transformation Initiatives. Paris: OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/c076d776-en
OECD. Consumption Tax Trends 2024a: VAT/GST and Excise, Core Design Features and Trends. Paris: OECD Publishing, 2024b. https://doi.org/10.1787/dcd4dd36-en
OECD/ATAF/AUC. 2024. Revenue Statistics in Africa 2024. OECD Publishing.
Ogbuabor, J. E., E. T. Emeka, A. Orji, and F. N. Onuigbo. 2024. Effects of Trade Openness and International Financial Inflows on Africa’s Productive Capacity: A Study of the Moderating Role of Governance Institutions. Politická Ekonomie, 72(3): 501–564.
Okunogbe, O., and F. Santoro. 2023. Increasing Tax Collection in African Countries: The Role of Information Technology. Journal of African Economies, 32(Supplement_1): i57–i83. https://doi.org/10.1093/jae/ejac036
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). 2025c. Revenue Statistics in Africa 2025. Paris: OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/d880cbe4-en
Oti-Akenteng, E., E. O. N. D. Ocansey, and F. O. Asamoah. 2025. Impact of Digitalization on Revenue Generation and Transparency within Local Government Frameworks. International Journal of Science and Research Archive, 14(3): 1761–1777. https://doi.org/10.30574/ijsra.2025.14.3.0888.
Pedroni, P. 2004. Panel Cointegration: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties of Pooled Time Series Tests with an Application to the PPP Hypothesis. Econometric Theory, 20 (3): 597-625. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466604203073
Pedroni, P. 1999. Critical Values for Cointegration Tests in Heterogeneous Panels with Multiple Regressors. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61 (S1): 653–670. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0084.61.s1.14
Peprah, J., H. Ngalawa, and E. Derera. 2022. Capital Flight, Tax Revenue and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Role of Good Governance. International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, 1(1): 1. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJEPEE.2022.10048308.
Pesaran, M. H., Y. Shin, and R. J. Smith. 2001. Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16 (3): 289–326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616
Pesaran, M. H., Y. Shin, and R. P. Smith. 1999. Pooled Mean Group Estimation of Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94 (446): 621-634. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1999.10474156
Queku, Y. N., B. A. Seidu, B. E. Attom, E. Carsamer, A. M. Adam, M. Fayeme, and S. Acquah. 2024. Tax Revenue Performance in Africa: Does Macroeconomic Environment Matter? Journal of Tax Reform, 10(2): 271–291. https://doi.org/10.15826/jtr.2024.10.2.169.
Quiros-Romero, G., T. F. Alexander, and J. Ribarsky. 2021. Measuring the Informal Economy. eISBN 9781513568249, February 2, 2021.
Tolossa, G., and W. E. Melese. 2024. Revisiting Determinants of Tax Revenue Mobilization in Sub-Saharan African Countries: Does E-Government Matter? Cogent Social Sciences, 10(1): 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311886.2024.2399937.









