Who really controls Zambia’s mining wealth? Stakeholder influence on inward Foreign Direct Investment

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.37075/FABA.2025.2.01

Keywords:

Foreign Direct Investment, Mining Sector, Stakeholder Influence, Corporate Social Responsibility, Resource Dependence

Abstract

Purpose: This study examines the influence of key stakeholders including the Zambian government, local communities, multinational enterprises (MNEs), and foreign investors on inward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Zambia's mining sector. It seeks to understand how stakeholder dynamics shape investment decisions and sustainability outcomes in this resource-dependent economy.

Design/Methodology/Approach: A mixed-methods approach with a convergent parallel design is employed, integrating quantitative and qualitative data. An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model assesses long-term and short-term relationships between Stakeholders’ influence and FDI trends, while historical data, policy shifts, corporate social responsibility (CSR) practices, investor perceptions and local economic linkages provide contextual insights.

Findings: The findings reveal that Stakeholders’ influence exert significant influence on FDI through measures such as CSR expectations and policy shifts and yet disparities in benefit-sharing persist. Foreign investors, especially from China, drive capital inflows but often with limited local economic spill overs. Moreover, policy stability, particularly in taxation and regulatory frameworks, is critical for attracting FDI, with recent reforms showing positive effects. However, Zambia's heavy reliance on mining FDI perpetuates vulnerability to commodity price fluctuations.

Practical Implications: The study recommends policy measures to enhance regulatory consistency, promote value addition in mining, and diversify into agriculture and renewable energy. Strengthening local content policies and fostering multi-stakeholder dialogue are essential to ensure FDI contributes to inclusive growth. MNEs should align CSR strategies with community development needs to secure social license to operate.

Originality/Value: This study contributes to the literature by providing a comprehensive stakeholder analysis of FDI in Zambia's mining sector, bridging gaps between policy, corporate practice, and community impacts. Unlike previous studies focusing solely on macroeconomic factors, this research highlights the interplay between governance, investor behaviour and local development, offering nuanced insights for policymakers and investors in resource dependent economies.

Paper Type:  Research Paper

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

African Development Bank. 2022. Zambia economic outlook: Building resilience in the mining sector. African Development Bank. https://www.afdb.org/en/countries/southern-africa/zambia/zambia-economic-outlookafdb.org+1afdb.org+1.

African Development Bank. 2023. Zambia economic outlook: Diversification and sustainable growth. African Development Bank. https://www.afdb.org/en/countries/southern-africa/zambia/zambia-economic-outlook.

Assefa, G. 2020. Determinants of foreign direct investment in Ethiopia: The ARDL bounds testing approach [Master’s thesis, Addis Ababa University]. Addis Ababa University Institutional Repository. https://etd.aau.edu.et/items/c1b12566-bf96-48cc-94df-f1edb99156f6

Blowfield, M., and A. Murray. 2014. Corporate responsibility (3rd ed.). Oxford University Press.

Braun, V., and V. Clarke. 2006. Using thematic analysis in psychology. Qualitative Research in Psychology, 3(2): 77-101. DOI: 10.1191/1478088706qp063oa

Brown, R. L., J. Durbin, and J. M. Evans. 1975., Techniques for Testing the Constancy of Regression relationships over time, Journal of the royal statistical society; series B (Methodological), 37(2): 149-163, Doi:10.1111/j.2517-6161.1975.tb01532.x.

Burdzik, S. 2014. The role of international financial institutions in Africa’s extractive sectors. Routledge.

Caramento, A., J. Musonda, and A. Fraser. 2023. Power and profit in Zambia’s mining sector. Zed Books.

Carmody, P., and M. Hinfelaar. 2017. Varieties of mining in Africa: Governance, trade, and value chains. Palgrave Macmillan.

Chandio, A. A., Y. Jiang, A. Rehman, and A. Rauf. 2020. Short and long-run impacts of climate change on agriculture: An empirical evidence from China. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 12(2): 201–221. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM-05-2019-0026

Charmaz, K., and R. Thornberg. 2021. The pursuit of quality in grounded theory. Qualitative Research in Psychology, 18(3): 305-327. DOI: 10.1080/14780887.2020.1780357

Cronjé, F., S. Reyneke, and C. Chenga. 2017. Corporate social responsibility in the Zambian mining sector: An overview of three distinctive operational eras. Koers – Bulletin for Christian Scholarship, 82(1): 1–12. https://doi.org/10.19108/KOERS.82.1.2286

Domela, M. G., T. Ze, and Z. Zakirullah. 2023. Literature review on Chinese foreign direct investment in the South African mining sector: Determinants and development. Open Journal of Social Sciences, 11: 393–411. https://doi.org/10.4236/jss.2023.1110023

Edgington, E. S. 1967. Review of the discovery of grounded theory: Strategies for qualitative research. Canadian Pschologist/Psychologie Canadienne, 8a(4): 360. DOI: 10.1037/h0083159

Edmonds, W. A., and T. D. Kennedy. 2017. An applied guide to research designs: Quantitative, qualitative, and mixed methods (2nd ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE publications. DOI: 10.4135/9781071802779

EITI. 2020. The role of transparency in Zambia’s mining sector. Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative. https://eiti.org/zambia

Elo, S., M. Kääriäinen, O. Kanste, T. Pölkki, K. Utriainen, and H. Kyngäs. 2014. Qualitative content analysis: A focus on trustworthiness. SAGE Open, 4(1): 215824401452263. DOI: 10.1177/2158244014522633

Erlingsson, C., and P. Brysiewicz. 2017. A hands-on guide to doing content analysis. African Journal of Emergency Medicine, 7(3): 93-99. DOI: 10.1016/j.afjem.2017.08.001

Fessehaie, J., & Morris, M. 2023. The evolution of mining FDI in Zambia. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.

Fraser Institute. 2023. Mining policy perceptions index: Zambia’s progress and challenges. Fraser Institute. https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/mining-policy-perceptions-index-2023

Fraser, A., and J. Lungu. 2007. For whom the windfalls? Winners & losers in the privatisation of Zambia’s copper mines. Lusaka, Zambia: Civil Society Trade Network of Zambia.

Garbarino, D. M. 2021. Management of Africa’s Rare earth Mining Sectors (Doctoral dissertation, Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School).

Chibbabbuka, R. H., J. Masinja, and I. B. Franco. 2021. Legal Reforms as a Tool for Sustainable Development in Former Mining Communities: A Case Study of Kabwe Lead-Zinc Mine, Zambia. Journal of Sustainable Development Law and Policy (The), 12(2): 226-257.

Haglund, D. 2008. Regulating FDI in weak African states: A case study of Chinese copper mining in Zambia. The Journal of Modern African Studies, 46(4): 547–575. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022278X08003480

Hansen, M. W., L. Buur, A. M. Kjær, and O. Therkildsen. 2016. The economics and politics of local content in African extractives: Lessons from Tanzania, Uganda, and Mozambique. Forum for Development Studies, 43(2): 201–228. https://doi.org/10.1080/08039410.2015.1089319

Haven, T. L., M. R. Holst, and D. Strech. 2022. Stakeholders’ views on an institutional dashboard with metrics for responsible research. PLOS ONE, 17(6): e0269492. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0269492

International Labour Organization. 2021. Employment trends in Zambia’s extractive industries. International Labour Organization. https://www.ilo.org

International Monetary Fund. 2021. Zambia: Request for an Extended Credit Facility arrangement. IMF Country Report No. 2021/123. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/CR/Issues/2021/06/18/Zambia-Request-for-an-Extended-Credit-Facility-Arrangement-460024

Kallner, A. 2018. Laboratory statistics: Handbook of formulas and terms: Methods in chemistry and health sciences (2nd ed.). San Diego, CA: Elsevier. DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-12-814348-3.00001-0

Kaulu, B., and L. Haabazoka. 2023. External Debt, FDI and Copper Prices and their relationship with Tax Revenue Mobilization: The case of Zambia. In Proceedings of the 4th African Internafional Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operafions Management (pp. 69-81). Lusaka, Zambia: IEOM Society International.

Khan, M. A., M. A. Khan, M. A. Khan, H. Haddad, N. M. Al-Ramahi, N. Sherfudeen, N. 2023. Country-level institutional quality and financial system efficiency: An international evidence. PLOS ONE, 18(8): e0290511. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0290511

Kim, H. Y. 2013. Statistical notes for clinical researchers: Assessing normal distribution (2) using skewness and kurtosis. Restorative dentistry & Endondotics, 38(1): 52-54. DOI: 105395/rde.2013.38.1.52

Kragelund, P. 2022. Chinese mining investment and environmental impacts in Zambia. Journal of Modern African Studies, 60(3): 421–442.

Larmer, M. 2023. Opposition politics and democratic change in Zambia. London, UK: Routledge.

Lazar, J., J. H. Feng, and H. Hochheiser. 2017. Research methods in human-computer interaction. Waltham, MA: Morgan Kaufmann.

Lee, C. K. 2018. The specter of global China: Politics, labor, and foreign investment in Africa. China Perspectives, 2019(4): 53–54. https://doi.org/10.4000/chinaperspectives.9738

Lester, J. N., and C. R. Lochmiller. 2017. An introduction to educational research: Connecting methods to practice. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publications.

Lombe, C., and C. Cheelo. 2023. Copper dependency and FDI in Zambia. Development Southern Africa, 40(2): 234–251.

Lombe, W., and T. Kalinda. 2019. Tax incentives and revenue losses in Zambia’s mining sector. Resources Policy, 62: 136–144.

Mahmood, H., and A. R. Chaudhary. 2013. Impact of FDI on Tax Revenue in Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences, 7(1): 59-69.

Matsudaira, J. 2015. Defining and measuring institutional quality in higher education. In Quality in the Undergraduate Experience: What Is It? How Is It Measured? Who Decides? National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/23514

Mining for Zambia. 2023. Investor perspectives on Zambia’s mining sector. Mining for Zambia. https://www.miningforzambia.com

Mining Review Africa. 2022. Zambia’s royalty tax reforms: A new era for mining investment? Mining Review Africa. https://www.miningreview.com

Mining Watch Zambia. 2023. Annual report on mining sector transparency. Mining Watch Zambia.en.wikipedia.org+2en.wikipedia.org+2reddit.com+2

Ministry of Mines and Minerals Development. 2023. National strategy for critical minerals development. Government of Zambia.

Mkonyi, G., J. Macheru, and A. Ayako. 2022. Socio-Economic Determinants of FDI Flow into the Mining Sector in Tanzania. International Journal of Economics, 7(2): 1-36. DOI: 10.47604/ijecon.1706

Morgan, H. 2022. Conducting a qualitative document analysis. The Qualitative Report, 27(1): 64–77. https://doi.org/10.46743/2160-3715/2022.5044

Munalula, M., and K. Matildah. 2016. Chinese foreign direct investment in Africa’s natural resources and the impacts on local communities (A focus on extractive industries): Review of literature. World Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities, 2(3): 102–108. https://pubs.sciepub.com/wjssh/2/3/3

Ndaba, S. 2015. The impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth in Zambia: A study in the context of a natural resource-dependent economy [Doctoral dissertation, Academia.edu]. https://www.academia.edu/111160444

Nyambe, I., and J. Mwitwa. 2023. Environmental governance and mining in Zambia. Journal of Environmental Law, 35(4): 567–589.

Okeke, C. T., and C. U. Kalu. 2022. Impact of political stability on foreign direct investment: Evidence from Nigeria. Social Science Research, 6(1). Retrieved from https://journals.aphriapub.com/index.php/SSR/article/view/1411

Pesaran, M. H., and Y. Shin. 1998. An autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis. In S. Storm (Ed.), Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th Century: The Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium (pp. 371-413). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

Phiri, W. C. K. 2011. Foreign direct investment in Zambia’s mining and other sectors: Distinguishing drivers and implications for diversification. Macroeconomic and Financial Management Institute of Eastern and Southern Africa (MEFMI). https://mefmi.org/2016/06/07/foreign-direct-investment-in-zambia-s-mining-and-other-sectors-distinguishing-drivers-and-implications-for-diversification/

Saad, N. 2014. Tax knowledge, tax complexity and tax compliance: Taxpayers’ view. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 109: 1069-1075. DOI: 10.1016/j.sbspro.2013.12.590

Saad-Filho, A., and J. Weeks. 2023. Foreign investment and economic transformation in Africa. Palgrave Macmillan.

SADC Secretariat. 2023. Regional mining policy harmonization. Southern African Development Community (SADC).reddit.com+1reddit.com+1

Schoonenboom, J., and R. B. Johnson. 2017. How to construct a mixed methods research design. Kölner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie, 69(2): 107-131. DOI: 10.1007/s11577-017-0454-1

Shrestha, M. B., and G. R. Batha. 2018. Selecting appropriate methodological framework for time series data analysis. The Journal of Finance and Data Science, 4(2): 71-89. DOI: 10.1016/j.jfds.2017.11.001

Sikamo, J., A. Mwanza, and C. Mweemba. 2016. Copper mining in Zambia – History and future. Journal of the Southern African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, 116(6): 491–496. https://doi.org/10.17159/2411-9717/2016/v116n6a1

Simutanyi, N. 1996. The politics of structural adjustment in Zambia. Third World Quarterly, 17(4): 825–839. https://doi.org/10.1080/01436599615407

Sun, L., and M. Hasi. 2024. Effects of mining sector FDI, environmental regulations, and economic complexity on mineral resource dependency in selected OECD countries. Resources Policy, 89:104651. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.104651

Tashakkori, A., and I. Newman. 2010. Mixed methods: Integrating quantitative and qualitative approaches to research. In P. P. Peterson, E. Baker, & B. McGaw (Eds.), International encyclopedia of education (3rd ed.). (pp. 514-520). Amsterdam, Netherlands; Boston, MA: Elsevier. DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-08-044894-7.00287-6

Timmermans, S., and I. Tavory. 2012. Theory construction in qualitative research: From grounded theory to abductive analysis. Sociological Theory, 30(3): 167-186. DOI: 10.1177/0735275112457914

U.S. Department of State. 2023. 2023 investment climate statements: Zambia. U.S. Department of State. https://www.state.gov/reports/2023-investment-climate-statements/zambia/

UNCTAD. 2017. World Investment Report 2017: Investment and the Digital Economy. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/wir2017_en.pdf

UNCTAD. 2021. World Investment Report 2021: Investing in Sustainable Recovery. New York, NY: United Nations Publications.

UNCTAD. 2022. Global challenges for innovation in mining industries. Cambridge University Press. https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/global-challenges-for-innovation-in-mining-industries/mining-foreign-direct-investments-and-local-technological-spillovers/D9E55E472E68D5DDC8CFC001665F14C8

Wambwa, D., J. Mundike, and B. Chirambo. 2023. Environmental Protection Fund audits in Zambia: A strategy for ensuring regulatory compliance in Zambia's mining sector. The Extractive Industries and Society, 16: 101353.

World Bank. 2015. Millennium Development Goals Report 2015. World Bank Group.

World Bank. 2022. Zambia Mining Sector Review: FDI Trends and Impacts. World Bank Group.

Yangailo, T., and T. Chambani. 2023. The impact of industrialisation on Zambia’s economic growth. Journal of Developing Economies, 8(1): 153–161.

Zambia Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative. 2021. Mining taxation trends in Zambia: 2005–2021. https://www.zeiti.org.zm

Zambia Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative. 2022. Improving transparency in mining licensing and revenue sharing. https://www.zeiti.org.zm

Zambia Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative. 2023. EITI Zambia report 2023. ZEITI.

Zambia Federation of Employers. 2020. Employment impacts of mining tax reforms. Policy Brief No. 4.

Zambia Ministry of Justice. 2024. Mineral Regulation Commission Act. Government Printer.

Zambia Ministry of Mines. 2021. Mining policy and regulatory framework. Government of Zambia.

Zhang, Y., and T. Liang. 2023. Mining FDI and resource dependency: A quantile analysis for OECD economies. Journal of Economic Structures, 9(1): 54.

Published

2025-12-06

How to Cite

Kaonga, O., Haabazoka, L., & Chilolo, B. (2025). Who really controls Zambia’s mining wealth? Stakeholder influence on inward Foreign Direct Investment. Finance, Accounting and Business Analysis (FABA), 7(2), 134–150. https://doi.org/10.37075/FABA.2025.2.01

Issue

Section

Articles

Similar Articles

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.